Thrifty-Book
0x2a2ffe47247587471988b1cb132047301c749e9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$1.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Russia enter Novopavlivka by November 30?
1179 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-299.38
- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
1133 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?
617 shares @ 59.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-367.51
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
594 shares @ 74.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-441.47
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?
378 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-75.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on October 18?
246 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 15?
143 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 15?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 18?
99 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 57-58°F on October 16?
96 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$71.47Feb 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$350.00Feb 11, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$420.63Feb 10, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$262.00Feb 6, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$108.05Feb 6, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$370.00Feb 5, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$740.80Feb 3, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$75.00Jan 14, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$125.00Jan 12, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$120.00Jan 12, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$114.00Jan 12, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$177.84Dec 24, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$181.30Dec 23, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$18.00Dec 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$455.55Dec 21, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on December 3?$18.51Dec 2, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 39-40°F on December 2?$11.16Dec 2, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on December 2?$10.08Dec 2, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on December 2?$10.40Dec 2, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 1?$29.97Dec 2, 05:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $144.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 10:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 22:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".