0x2a3be3e61e7bcbf35e86163a4bdf467c20dfe03f
0x2a3be3e61e7bcbf35e86163a4bdf467c20dfe03f
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.06
Total PnL
$-12.28
Realised
$26.71
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
84 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-0.19
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
44 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.02
$-0.25
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
350 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.39
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
342 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
286 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
230 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.23
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
210 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.42
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
195 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
195 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.19
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
193 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$2.12Feb 11, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.09Feb 11, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?$0.04Feb 11, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?$0.06Feb 11, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.10Feb 11, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRobinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on February 11?$0.03Feb 11, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRobinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on February 11?$0.47Feb 11, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $2.80 in February?$0.10Feb 11, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have less than or equal to 5 launches in February?$0.18Feb 11, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$0.06Feb 11, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$0.03Feb 11, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jelena Ostapenko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$0.02Feb 11, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Vargas win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$0.03Feb 11, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?$0.05Feb 11, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?$0.05Feb 11, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 11?$0.50Feb 11, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on February 12?$0.03Feb 11, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on February 12?$0.07Feb 11, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 9-15?$0.20Feb 11, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on February 11?$0.05Feb 10, 23:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 14:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".