Glaring-Tick
0x2a3c431ff3ef0f8cf79313d6189c07f291fdca91
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.14
Total PnL
$-90.79
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
90 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.14
$-21.46
- YES
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?
946 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-59.34
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$21.60Dec 5, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$1.52Jun 19, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$0.48Jun 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$15.00Jun 18, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$12.20Jun 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$14.88Jun 16, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$0.31Jun 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$0.31Jun 16, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$0.31Jun 16, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$0.62Jun 16, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$0.31Jun 16, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$0.31Jun 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$0.31Jun 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$7.87Jun 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$0.69Jun 16, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$5.58Jun 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$4.28May 6, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$8.40May 6, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?$0.00May 5, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US add between 200k and 250k jobs in April?$10.00May 5, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 18:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.