0x2a41e63ae96ac968a2a9c4a9601b193e22e754dc
0x2a41e63ae96ac968a2a9c4a9601b193e22e754dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
275 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.28
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?
125 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Ross Smith win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?
33 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$0.00
$-0.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Smith win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?$0.69Dec 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$0.25Dec 12, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.06Dec 11, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?$0.13Dec 8, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.06Nov 30, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$0.25Nov 29, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.35Sep 21, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.02Sep 21, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.40Sep 10, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.28Aug 16, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.38Aug 16, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.40Aug 16, 09:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $0.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 09:44 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.