Likely-Addiction
0x2a45c98f0894559e2492c2da2d2a62f14f14d71d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$9.43
Total PnL
$-18.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- SWIATEK
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W)
9 shares @ 74.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2025$9.43
$2.41
- YES
US recession in 2025?
25 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.91
- NO
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
6 shares @ 61.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.64
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
6 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.12
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.01Jul 17, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W) $7.02Jul 10, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$3.12Jul 10, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 27, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$3.21Jun 27, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMXRP above $2.10 on June 20?$7.99Jun 27, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$3.64Jun 18, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP above $2.10 on June 20?$5.43Jun 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.67Jun 14, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$2.50Jun 5, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$43.34Jun 5, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$12.91May 7, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$12.57May 7, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.59May 5, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$0.00May 2, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$1.60Feb 7, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?$2.23Feb 7, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,500 by January 31, 2025?$31.87Feb 7, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?$2.23Jan 30, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$1.59Jan 30, 19:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 02:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 08:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.