Wallet digest

active

Activity score

63/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$20.77

Total PnL

$-1.3K

Realised

$7.10

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 35

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET
18 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026
$17.65
$8.65
YES
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028
$3.12
$0.12
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
372 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-59.19
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
300 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-111.47
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
246 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-37.56
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
202 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-71.51
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
192 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-47.29
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
179 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-66.84
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
167 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-69.94
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
163 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-56.21

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET$9.31May 12, 04:03 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-03?$1.03May 3, 08:49 UTC
TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.08May 3, 08:49 UTC
MAKER_REBATE$6.11Apr 23, 01:00 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.26Apr 22, 14:47 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$20.00Apr 22, 14:47 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.00Apr 22, 14:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$50.00Apr 22, 14:45 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.53Apr 22, 14:45 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.05Apr 22, 14:45 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$2.50Apr 22, 14:45 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$2.50Apr 22, 14:45 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$7.16Apr 22, 14:45 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$10.00Apr 22, 14:44 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$10.89Apr 22, 14:44 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$9.24Apr 22, 14:43 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$2.91Apr 22, 14:43 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.46Apr 22, 14:43 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$24.50Apr 22, 14:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$50.00Apr 22, 14:41 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry69 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk72 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $19.03
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 22, 14:18 UTC
Last active: May 12, 04:03 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:42:44 UTC·src:Polymarket Data