Untrue-Fridge
0x2a4d576db5136266e87a63e27d2fd9275dd562c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$5.12
Total PnL
$-12.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
1 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-500.20
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 26, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?$1.01Jan 26, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$1.00Jan 15, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?$1.00Jan 15, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$1.00Jan 7, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Jan 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMInterstellar object confirmed aliens?$1.02Jan 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$1.02Jan 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $260 before 2026??$1.02Jan 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?$1.02Jan 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.04Jan 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMGPT ads by December 31?$1.05Jan 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.05Jan 7, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $80.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 08:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".