Upset-Thermostat
0x2a501ab734e91bdee18bbc640888667cc3f5fa96
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$47.72
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
43796 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-221.17
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
5941 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-100.63
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?
4176 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-98.40
- NO
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?
3861 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-345.76
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?
2642 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-360.95
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
213 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-115.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?$16.25Apr 8, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?$18.50Apr 8, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$18.50Apr 7, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?$0.00Apr 7, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$30.43Apr 7, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5.00Apr 7, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$5.00Feb 3, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$10.00Feb 3, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$100.63Dec 13, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$115.00Dec 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$116.15Nov 20, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$109.70Nov 20, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$30.00Nov 13, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$30.00Nov 13, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown end November 12?$131.00Nov 13, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$100.00Nov 13, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$100.00Nov 13, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$100.00Nov 13, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown end November 12?$593.99Nov 13, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown end November 12?$793.26Nov 13, 05:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $129.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".