Wallet digest

active

Activity score

49/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.6K

Realised

$-18.46

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 16

NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
3574 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$0.00
$-103.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
1262 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-94.83
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
336 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-147.72
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
328 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-147.70
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
295 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-147.66
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
293 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-147.66
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
236 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-147.95
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
212 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-98.45
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
189 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-98.44
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
179 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-98.47

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$100.00Mar 8, 11:04 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3.00Mar 8, 09:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Feb 26, 10:23 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Feb 26, 09:38 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Feb 26, 09:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$50.00Feb 26, 09:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$50.00Feb 26, 09:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$50.00Feb 26, 09:21 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$130.47Feb 26, 09:15 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.00Feb 26, 09:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$50.00Feb 26, 09:12 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.00Feb 26, 09:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$100.00Feb 26, 09:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$172.15Feb 26, 09:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$21.00Feb 26, 09:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$50.00Feb 26, 09:04 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$67.29Feb 26, 09:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$40.00Feb 26, 09:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$50.00Feb 26, 09:00 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$0.00Feb 26, 08:58 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity36 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry88 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk54 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 26
Avg trade size: $52.52
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 25, 20:06 UTC
Last active: Mar 8, 11:04 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 17:45:54 UTC·src:Polymarket Data