Sticky-Index
0x2a5e4d8090c804a5802e1378e5c8fab6b4e54709
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.58
Total PnL
$-3.81
Realised
$-1.63
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$2.31
$0.00
- NO
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.27
$0.01
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + D66?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$309.38Dec 15, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.47Dec 14, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$312.00Dec 12, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$314.42Dec 12, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$317.00Dec 12, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.00Dec 12, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Dec 11, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.20Dec 11, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + D66?$2.00Dec 11, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$1.00Dec 11, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150K in June?$1.01Dec 11, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?$1.03Dec 11, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$1.00Jun 7, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?$1.00Jun 7, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on June 6?$1.00Jun 7, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in June?$1.00Jun 5, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on June 6?$1.00Jun 5, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jun-seok be the People's Power Party candidate for president?$1.00Jun 5, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in scoring?$1.01Jun 5, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?$1.01Jun 5, 04:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $47.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 10:04 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 05:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.