Smart-Roar
0x2a62f31debe104f589388d0c18598b2df56bb810
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.15
Total PnL
$-4.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.08
$0.08
- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 17-23?
1 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown last 5 days or more?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 93.5¢·now 93.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on July 18?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Churchill Downs (CHDN) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 5 days or more?$1.00Feb 17, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 17-23?$1.00Feb 17, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 17, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.05Feb 17, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?$1.10Feb 17, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?$1.12Feb 17, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.18Feb 17, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England rate cut in 2025?$3.33Feb 17, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 27, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?$1.00Oct 15, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.16Oct 9, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Progress Software (PRGS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.19Oct 9, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jabil (JBL) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.27Oct 9, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AT&T (T) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 9, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Churchill Downs (CHDN) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 9, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Knicks$5.00Sep 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England rate cut in 2025?$1.00Sep 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?$1.00Sep 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?$1.00Sep 19, 00:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $163.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.