0x2a630772ca2872581cb0ab26961d309ccf032eb3
0x2a630772ca2872581cb0ab26961d309ccf032eb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
104
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-2.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
390 shares @ 53.8¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$136.57
$-73.43
- NO
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
163 shares @ 79.9¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$126.13
$-3.87
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
84 shares @ 83.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$83.11
$13.11
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
88 shares @ 91.3¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.48
$0.48
- NO
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
83 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.91
$-2.09
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
81 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$71.22
$1.22
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
69 shares @ 58.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.98
$27.98
- NO
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
61 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$60.58
$0.58
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
111 shares @ 27.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.22
$22.22
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
410 shares @ 28.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.07
$-71.93
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$563.62Jun 12, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 15?$32.18Jun 12, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 30?$176.91Jun 12, 20:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$90.00Jun 7, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$50.00Jun 7, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$130.78Jun 7, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35.69Jun 7, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.38Jun 7, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 7, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.08Jun 7, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 7, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jun 7, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucker Carlson federally charged?$5.20Jun 7, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$35.00Jun 7, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $49.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 17:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.