Insignificant-Agency
0x2a6447568db3c5e625850047ada3cef19d0b51d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
1512 shares @ 92.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
1299 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
1163 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
1071 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 0 Iraq?
769 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?
741 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?
556 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?
545 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 Mexico?
514 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$83.04Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.58Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$22.91Jul 6, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$40.88Jul 6, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?$40.86Jul 6, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$41.00Jul 6, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$41.04Jul 6, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-05?$184.21Jul 6, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-05?$71.30Jul 6, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$10.00Jul 1, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Belgium (-1.5) AND Spread: England (-1.5) AND Spread: United States (-1.5)$10.00Jul 1, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score AND Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score$9.99Jul 1, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.00Jul 1, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-29?$30.64Jun 29, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$1.0KJun 27, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.90Jun 27, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2026-06-26?$1.2KJun 27, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-26?$5.1KJun 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$5.0KJun 26, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-26?$402.04Jun 26, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $448.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.