Warm-Pupa
0x2a66d9fd6fa7f9244cef81c208046cb9ee33a177
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$1.91
Realised
$253.28
Win rate
100%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Botswana vs Mali - Team Top Batter Botswana Winner
2172 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- NO
Will RS Berkane vs. Raja Club Athletic end in a draw?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 3 AC Sparta Praha?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will a 1 seed win the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UNDER
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?
1960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- NO
Bitcoin above 65,200 on April 2, 9PM ET?
1930 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
- NO
Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
1863 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- NO
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?
1832 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- OVER
Ruiz vs. Canas: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
1741 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- UNDER
Ruiz vs. Canas: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
1741 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCizek Marek vs. Herrmann Vit$0.04Jul 28, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $176 in August?$0.11Jul 28, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $315 on July 29?$0.10Jul 28, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Tanzania vs Uganda$0.13Jul 28, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$0.10Jul 28, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$0.46Jul 28, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: Fluminense FC O/U 3.5 Corners$0.10Jul 28, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: Fluminense FC O/U 3.5 Corners$0.46Jul 28, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: Fluminense FC O/U 2.5 Corners$0.56Jul 28, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Tanzania vs Uganda$0.11Jul 28, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Tanzania vs Uganda$0.20Jul 28, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Tanzania vs Uganda$0.33Jul 28, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Tanzania vs Uganda$0.33Jul 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Tanzania vs Uganda$4.73Jul 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Tanzania vs Uganda$0.43Jul 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Tanzania vs Uganda$1.87Jul 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Tanzania vs Uganda$0.25Jul 28, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houthis successfully target shipping on July 30, 2026?$0.43Jul 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houthis successfully target shipping on July 28, 2026?$5.00Jul 28, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houthis successfully target shipping on July 28, 2026?$0.50Jul 28, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 39 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
39 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 14:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.