Tough-Orangutan
0x2a6dee245271b5de0ad7ab7a6e04926781f96e6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$13.63
Total PnL
$-28.46
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.06
$0.01
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
3 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.60
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 13?
5181 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.36
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on January 23?
2058 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 19?
1077 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on February 6?
1074 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 17?
1068 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on February 12?
1056 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$5.05May 21, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.01May 13, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$4.51May 5, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.08May 5, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$2.61May 5, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.07Apr 23, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$4.44Apr 10, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 27?$1.1KMar 28, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 27?$1.1KMar 27, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on March 26?$1.1KMar 27, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on March 26?$1.1KMar 26, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 25?$1.1KMar 26, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 25?$1.1KMar 25, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 24?$1.1KMar 25, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 24?$1.1KMar 24, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 23?$1.1KMar 24, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 23?$1.1KMar 23, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 22?$1.1KMar 23, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 22?$1.1KMar 22, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 21?$1.1KMar 22, 02:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $610.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 08:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".