Careless-Fat
0x2a76202bf9539ef111400a4b6f83decf6fbc9486
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-263.43
Realised
$-2.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
337 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-225.84
- YES
Will Bruno Engler win the 2024 Belo Horizonte mayoral election?
50 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-6.77
- YES
Will André Fernandes win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?
46 shares @ 60.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-27.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$91.84Oct 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump wins every swing state?$191.84Oct 28, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$328.74Oct 27, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$2.13Oct 27, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Fernandes win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?$3.91Oct 27, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Engler win the 2024 Belo Horizonte mayoral election?$1.55Oct 27, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$0.12Oct 26, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Engler win the 2024 Belo Horizonte mayoral election?$1.30Oct 26, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$2.92Oct 26, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Engler win the 2024 Belo Horizonte mayoral election?$3.93Oct 26, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Fernandes win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?$4.08Oct 26, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Fernandes win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?$19.92Oct 26, 23:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $54.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 23:50 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".