Reliable-Paddock
0x2a78648c4534708f09e9c220b7f09754da90bda9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-63.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Trump sue over South Park episode?
226 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?
100 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
"Trump Burger" owner deported by September 30?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by August 31?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?
73 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
2025 August second hottest on record?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 5-11?
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?
60 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser in 2025?$1.00Aug 10, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTea App removed from App Store by August 31?$2.00Aug 10, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Mobile smartphone released before September?$1.00Aug 10, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?$3.00Aug 10, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?$1.00Aug 10, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by August 31?$1.00Aug 10, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?$2.00Aug 10, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$2.00Aug 10, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$2.00Aug 10, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?$1.00Aug 10, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before September?$2.00Aug 10, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucker Carlson confirmed CIA operative by December 31?$1.00Aug 10, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Putin shake hands by October 31?$2.00Aug 10, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?$1.00Aug 10, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stupid person" this week?$1.98Aug 10, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" this week?$1.04Aug 10, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "BRICS" this week?$0.20Aug 10, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?$2.90Aug 10, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 5-11?$3.00Aug 10, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by September 30?$3.00Aug 10, 22:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 22:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".