Inconsequential-Proceedings
0x2a7b32c9a5da0920d048e342477fbb1623c5f18d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-226.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
788 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
522 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
386 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
354 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?
344 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
274 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
136 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$25.00Mar 7, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 5, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 5, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$10.00Mar 5, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3.84Mar 5, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$22.73Mar 5, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$5.00Mar 1, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 1, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.69Feb 28, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$15.79Feb 28, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.00Feb 27, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$3.00Feb 23, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$2.00Feb 23, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$5.00Feb 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?$1.00Feb 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?$5.00Feb 12, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 18:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.