All-Passage
0x2a88d3e62be23ecf15b57c7cc403cbba8f15241c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
174
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-146.17
Realised
$-0.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 174- YES
Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
121 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?
109 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gonzaga be a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jan Schakowsky be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.39May 18, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.06Mar 19, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.05Mar 19, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.38Mar 19, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$18.52Mar 18, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sue Powell by March 31?$0.06Mar 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?$0.50Mar 15, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.01Mar 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.05Mar 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.11Mar 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.14Mar 15, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Vargas win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$0.50Mar 15, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.06Mar 15, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yasmeen Bankole be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?$0.07Mar 15, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yasmeen Bankole be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?$0.22Mar 15, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.17Mar 15, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yasmeen Bankole be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?$0.21Mar 15, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYVince Williams Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5$0.03Mar 15, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.50Mar 15, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$0.50Mar 15, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.