Agreeable-Surfboard
0x2a8aab59f46af934d7c791979bb2a1d07da2d230
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-197.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?
202 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 18?
181 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.70 May 4-10?
168 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
138 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 23?
127 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 27?
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 12?
106 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.79
- WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Washington State Cougars
65 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 21?
64 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 10AM ET
61 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 15?$3.01Jul 14, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?$105.77Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?$103.02Jul 7, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 4?$131.14Jun 4, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 4?$127.73Jun 4, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 25?$118.46May 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 25?$116.92May 24, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 23?$2.85May 22, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?$6.25May 20, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitBoy convicted?$20.22May 16, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.70 May 4-10?$1.61May 10, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 29?$58.85May 10, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 13?$59.82Apr 28, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 13?$0.14Apr 12, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 13?$57.83Apr 12, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?$61.79Apr 11, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$18.48Mar 30, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - March 25, 2AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 29?$57.32Mar 29, 03:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $34.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 23:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 23:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.