0x2aa07b64fa89852470fb157adc06f0f8f09cf283
0x2aa07b64fa89852470fb157adc06f0f8f09cf283
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$18.29
Total PnL
$-42.83
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- OVER
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 0.5
8 shares @ 88.2¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$7.50
$0.23
- OVER
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 5.5
68 shares @ 9.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$7.09
$0.50
- NO
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-11?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$1.98
$-0.29
- NO
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.73
$-0.01
- CEZAR CRETU
Hamburg: Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller
66 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-31.67
- ESTHER ADESHINA
ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Jodie Burrage vs Esther Adeshina
35 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- COLORADO ROCKIES
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
16 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- UNDER
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5
12 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
- YES
Will CD Ñublense win on 2026-08-10?
10 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- COLORADO ROCKIES
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
7 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.