Fearful-Prestige
0x2aa1c742f3456f846bbd0fdb6d73a97fc42f345a
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-458.81
Realised
$-2.17
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
104 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-72.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
21 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
20 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
15 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Jun 30, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.06Jun 30, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.04Jun 30, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.05Jun 30, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.04Jun 30, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$2.33Jun 30, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.04Jun 30, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.04Jun 30, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$3.33Jun 30, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.07Jun 30, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.05Jun 30, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.04Jun 30, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$2.07Jun 30, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.04Jun 30, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.05Jun 30, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$0.00Jun 30, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.05Jun 30, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.04Jun 30, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$2.25Jun 30, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$2.02Jun 30, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.