Wrong-Disruption
0x2aa270d9b62c990c4643358b63df2874e3db50c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$30.66
Total PnL
$10.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
21 shares @ 48.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$20.66
$10.66
- YES
Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2024$10.00
$5.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?$5.00Sep 24, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in Q4 2024?$5.00Sep 24, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Sep 24, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021?$0.00Apr 16, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?$20.32Apr 16, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on November 30, 2021?$0.00Dec 26, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $6.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 14:58 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 24, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".