Frightened-Loggia
0x2aa92f15f78d79b16590994a7faa66487dbc0a1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-154.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?
1898 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Zuriel Oduwole win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
621 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
420 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.99
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Macron out by October 31, 2025?
323 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
215 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$9.99Oct 14, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?$5.00Oct 10, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by October 31, 2025?$12.00Oct 10, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.00Oct 9, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.86Oct 9, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$0.35Oct 9, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$0.24Oct 9, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$0.50Oct 9, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$0.25Oct 9, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$0.50Oct 9, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$0.50Oct 9, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$0.63Oct 9, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$0.14Oct 9, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$1.29Oct 9, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?$1.39Oct 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.47Oct 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$0.13Oct 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$0.47Oct 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.24Oct 9, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boris Vallaud be the next Prime Minister of France?$5.10Oct 9, 02:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 14, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".