Rough-Pollutant
0x2ab2d3e0c47c5c7d047ca3a8749292acc075676e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$504.86
Total PnL
$-824.41
Realised
$-332.70
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
356 shares @ 50.0¢·now 83.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$298.15
$120.15
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
180 shares @ 77.0¢·now 82.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$148.86
$10.26
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
356 shares @ 50.0¢·now 16.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$57.85
$-120.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
1842 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-313.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
200 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 14?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
95 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-16.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 15?
60 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
40 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$138.60Jun 3, 16:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$139.84May 31, 12:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:13 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$356.00May 29, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$2.57May 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$0.25May 29, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$1.10May 29, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$10.44May 29, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$3.15May 29, 06:55 UTC
- REWARD$4.76May 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$84.00May 28, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$14.50May 28, 07:08 UTC
- REWARD$1.29May 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 23, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.03May 23, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $13.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 12:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".