Honorable-Greatgrandfather
0x2ac87e7acd5ae3c772fbeff23f0d18a2f60f92e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$70.22
Total PnL
$-985.92
Realised
$-0.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
127 shares @ 67.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$70.22
$-14.55
- YES
Will Gregory Rusland be the next president of Suriname after the election?
2078 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Devon McDaniel be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 6AM ET
424 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-216.25
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
263 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-131.64
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
258 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-129.03
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
252 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-126.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6AM ET
222 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-111.05
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET
200 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-102.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 5AM ET
152 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-77.32
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$243.70Jul 12, 03:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$126.11Jul 11, 06:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $129.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.