Super-Eleventh
0x2ad74a812b3fe4f8316d42ad959c2e04807c59d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-201.59
Realised
$-86.44
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 6?
226 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.39
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 2?
203 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 30?
166 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 9?
155 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.13
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 12?
115 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,800 on January 26?
108 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 26?
104 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 21?
88 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 19?
73 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.83
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 23?
58 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 6?$3.62Aug 5, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 25?$103.34Jul 25, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 25?$100.34Jul 24, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?$106.02Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?$14.78Jul 7, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?$88.91Jul 7, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 3?$97.22Jun 3, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 3?$95.47Jun 2, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 2?$2.61Jun 1, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 25?$109.23May 25, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 25?$106.39May 24, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 19?$1.95May 18, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?$100.83May 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?$98.41May 15, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$24.05May 15, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 9?$5.47May 8, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 13?$90.23May 8, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 28?$0.00May 1, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$22.13Apr 18, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on January 26?$0.00Apr 18, 09:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $47.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 17:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.