Inconsequential-Pupil
0x2ad9fc4539c67f5c6dfc7958b286aec4bc54d868
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$8.85
Total PnL
$-36.81
Realised
$1.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
316 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.47
$0.47
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.38
$1.38
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C or below on March 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
259 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
225 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
43 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?$1.16Apr 4, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Losene Keita win by KO or TKO?$2.22Mar 20, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5$2.04Mar 19, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 18, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5$1.00Mar 18, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$1.30Mar 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?$1.00Mar 17, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 17, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$1.00Mar 17, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)$1.00Mar 17, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)$1.00Mar 17, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$5.00Mar 17, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.98Mar 16, 22:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 14:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.