Defiant-Ephemeris
0x2ade82f88203fa953c8230b1cf3cefb08ac2bb46
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
2883 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by submission?
2508 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1131 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
1009 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-141.40
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?
533 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2025$0.00
$-197.27
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$117.30Mar 30, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$100.00Mar 30, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$934.60Jan 15, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.9KJan 14, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.0KJan 5, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$250.00Dec 1, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$2.3KNov 16, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$1.7KNov 10, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?$100.00Nov 9, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?$41.40Nov 9, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMAspinall vs. Gane$1.1KOct 27, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAspinall vs. Gane$500.00Oct 22, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMBoxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford $1.3KSep 14, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford $485.00Sep 9, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 319: Will Chimaev win by submission?$1.0KAug 14, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?$197.27May 4, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?$197.27May 4, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$1.0KMay 2, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?$850.00May 2, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?$99.80May 1, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $655.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".