Posh-Mandolin
0x2ae06860688e8a4b2648e5201674aa50de2c6441
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.68
Total PnL
$-43.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.68
$-1.32
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 20-27?
1250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 10%?
377 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 20-27?
202 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 20-27?
73 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 20-27?
53 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2024$0.00
$-6.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$7.26Nov 29, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.00Nov 29, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLZelensky resigns in 2025?$10.26Nov 29, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelensky resigns in 2025?$10.00Nov 28, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$2.00Nov 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$1.00Nov 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$10.00Nov 28, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?$2.00Nov 28, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 10%?$5.00Nov 28, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 20-27?$2.00Dec 27, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 20-27?$2.00Dec 25, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 20-27?$6.76Dec 25, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 20-27?$3.00Dec 25, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $4.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 09:53 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".