Unruly-Set
0x2ae14fd561fa6ec5aa7beb6dbd8057aa7178060e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-143.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 24?
188 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 1?
180 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 10?
131 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.89
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 6?
117 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 28?
104 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 29?
101 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6AM ET
98 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30?
97 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.13
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.60 in January?
93 shares @ 96.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-89.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 28?
90 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3?$68.41Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3?$0.13Jun 2, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3?$66.30Jun 2, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 23?$78.10May 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 23?$75.84May 23, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 10?$6.28May 9, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?$2.07May 7, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 28?$77.32May 7, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 28?$75.77Apr 27, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $56 Week of April 6 2026?$74.14Apr 27, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?$0.00Apr 19, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 17?$0.00Apr 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $56 Week of April 6 2026?$72.21Apr 10, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 6?$2.27Apr 5, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 31?$80.36Apr 5, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 1?$1.26Mar 31, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 31?$78.11Mar 30, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 22?$0.00Mar 30, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 29?$3.04Mar 29, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 29?$1.83Mar 28, 18:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $43.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 02:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.