Deafening-Report-Contributor
0x2ae4281c86e330ea90a6548a80fa0c208bfe4c34
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$13.02
Total PnL
$-235.88
Realised
$-5.12
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$6.00
$3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$6.00
$3.00
- DPLUS KIA
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
67 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9PM ET
49 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
49 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
38 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-21.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
33 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-16.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
29 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-14.89
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on July 29?
23 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$3.10Jul 30, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$2.07Jul 30, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$3.10Jul 30, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$35.42Jul 30, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$11.27Jul 30, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$11.37Jul 30, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$4.13Jul 30, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$6.19Jul 30, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$14.55Jul 30, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$8.25Jul 30, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$4.18Jul 30, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$19.43Jul 30, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$11.34Jul 30, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$10.36Jul 30, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9PM ET$11.45Jul 30, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9PM ET$10.39Jul 30, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$11.28Jul 30, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.99Jul 30, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.11Jul 30, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$3.13Jul 30, 01:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 01:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.