Agile-Alluvium
0x2ae6b91b41f4f6938ca61f684238cfdb22bd6ba7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-463.83
Realised
$-19.53
Win rate
0%
115 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
422 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11AM ET
417 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5PM ET
163 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
151 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
99 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-13.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYElche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 AND Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 AND Getafe CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5$9.00Aug 23, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5 AND Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 AND Will NK Osijek win on 2026-08-23?$1.71Aug 23, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)$2.09Aug 23, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?$6.20Aug 23, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNewcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score AND Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5 AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?$1.86Aug 23, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?$2.05Aug 23, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?$3.00Aug 23, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-23?$3.10Aug 23, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$2.88Aug 23, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$3.00Aug 23, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$15.94Aug 23, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$5.12Aug 23, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLO/U 1.5 Rounds AND O/U 1.5 Rounds AND O/U 3.5 Rounds AND UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)$17.12Aug 23, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLO/U 1.5 Rounds$8.12Aug 23, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 1.5 Rounds$5.76Aug 22, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)$5.77Aug 22, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)$3.07Aug 22, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims) AND O/U 2.5 Rounds$18.96Aug 22, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?$4.19Aug 22, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?$1.98Aug 22, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 115 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
115 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 23:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 17:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 115 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.