0x2af4a0c3764cd2801e781e2c25154bc882316416
0x2af4a0c3764cd2801e781e2c25154bc882316416
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-39.16
Realised
$3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
US recession in 2025?
300 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$300.00
$75.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
300 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$300.00
$75.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
201 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$200.51
$5.01
- YES
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
200 shares @ 74.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$200.00
$51.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
100 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$100.31
$2.21
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?
100 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$100.00
$68.00
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
325 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?
280 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
152 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.88
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
114 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$91.00Jun 17, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$12.00Jun 17, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$75.00Jun 17, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$76.00Jun 17, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$22.00Jun 16, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$63.30Jun 16, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$77.00Jun 16, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$16.00Jun 16, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$67.00Jun 13, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$21.00Jun 13, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$98.10Jun 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$74.00Jun 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$72.00Jun 12, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$34.00Jun 12, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$23.00Jun 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$67.00Jun 12, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$97.70Jun 12, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$97.80Jun 12, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$2.90Jun 11, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?$32.00Jun 11, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $44.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 04:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.