False-Transformation
0x2af608204ae307e40f0bcbc481e4a068c8603b4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
22/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-305.94
Realised
$-8.35
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5PM ET
222 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4PM ET
201 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
136 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
135 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.59
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6PM ET
134 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
107 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3PM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.