Slippery-Fright
0x2afae1ea2a79c82261712331e608aad9f8775d9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$5.57
Total PnL
$-3.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$3.57
$2.57
- YES
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
South Africa to score first vs. Czechia?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$1.02Jun 18, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-18?$1.02Jun 18, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.35Jun 18, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa to score first vs. Czechia?$1.02Jun 18, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCzechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$1.01Jun 18, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$10.89Jun 18, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$7.80Jun 17, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-06-17?$7.74Jun 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$4.56Jun 17, 18:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 15:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.