Tangible-Macrame
0x2afd8ae4e8cffc80ad6811e7714a05b1831cdeb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-302.96
Realised
$260.96
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
7500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
2778 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
2548 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-6.64
- NO
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
1276 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-337.66
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
710 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-59.01
- YES
Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 40% on December 10?
638 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.81
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
500 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-43.40
- YES
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
250 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.43
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
20 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.16
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Apr 27, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$107.78Apr 26, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$857.47Apr 26, 22:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Apr 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Apr 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Apr 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Apr 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Apr 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Apr 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $167.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".