Spirited-Duty
0x2b031e311f849417ba044acec8acb42a17a37a6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$81.04
Total PnL
$-48.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?
81 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$81.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
275 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 23?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?
50 shares @ 90.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-45.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?$81.01Jun 4, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$33.07Jun 3, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?$47.05Jun 2, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$33.00Jun 1, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?$47.00Jun 1, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$80.08May 26, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$80.00May 25, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?$80.08May 22, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?$80.01May 21, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?$80.08May 11, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?$80.01May 10, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?$80.08May 10, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?$80.01May 6, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$80.08May 6, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$80.01May 4, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$80.08May 4, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$80.00Apr 30, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?$80.08Apr 30, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?$80.00Apr 27, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 20?$80.07Apr 27, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $69.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 11:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 11:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".