Direct-Script
0x2b033351f26ac9c651b6f0bc186d20cab7b227cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$6.30
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$89.18
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?
280 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.30
$-30.16
- YES
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
29333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-88.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
11182 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-141.55
- YES
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
7840 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-227.19
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
3333 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-135.04
- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.30 on January 1?
2288 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-34.77
- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.30 on January 2?
888 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-19.54
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
888 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.22
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
880 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-87.99
- YES
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?
666 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-52.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $20.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 18:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.