Moral-Penny
0x2b09e06e97f2534c46c70a88cf43c5e2f362d2ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$97.92
Win rate
6%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
606 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- EGYPT
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
471 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-66.00
- YES
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
245 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- MOROCCO
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
222 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- TAYLOR FRITZ
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
186 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-42.50
- ALEXANDER ZVEREV
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Bilbao: Both Teams to Score
164 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNewcastle United vs. Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score$155.35Aug 16, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMTottenham Hotspur vs. TSG Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score$138.48Aug 16, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNewcastle United vs. Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score$101.78Aug 16, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score$101.51Aug 16, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTottenham Hotspur vs. TSG Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score$101.39Aug 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNottingham Forest vs. Stade Brest 29: Both Teams to Score$101.90Aug 16, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMAC Milan vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Score$157.50Aug 15, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMBayern Munich vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score$151.52Aug 15, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMBorussia Monchengladbach vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams to Score$88.24Aug 15, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBorussia Monchengladbach vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams to Score$60.96Aug 15, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayern Munich vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score$101.70Aug 15, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMOlympique Marseille vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Score$151.79Aug 14, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCF Intercity vs. Atletico Levante UD: Both Teams to Score$101.95Aug 14, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAC Milan vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Score$101.83Aug 14, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtalanta BC vs. Athletic Bilbao: Both Teams to Score$101.95Aug 14, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad San Sebastian win on 2026-08-15?$20.81Aug 14, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCoventry City vs. AS Monaco: Both Teams to Score$101.60Aug 14, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOlympique Marseille vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Score$101.71Aug 14, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor$20.88Aug 5, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLITF Rogaska Slatina: Sara Mikaca vs Alja Senica$250.00Aug 2, 10:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $81.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 18:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.