0x2b0f75327e3ddad169c07f433997f641c88875e5
0x2b0f75327e3ddad169c07f433997f641c88875e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$6.17
Total PnL
$-97.92
Realised
$-1.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 27?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.17
$4.94
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 27?
240 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.88
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 27?
182 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 24?
72 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 29?
71 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 23?
63 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 29?
55 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on May 24?
48 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 25?
46 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 29?
46 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 28?$0.00Jun 4, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?$0.00Jun 2, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 29?$0.00Jun 2, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on May 29?$0.00May 31, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 29?$0.00May 31, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 29?$0.00May 31, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on May 29?$5.00May 30, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 29?$0.00May 30, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 29?$0.00May 30, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 29?$0.00May 30, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 28?$0.00May 29, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on May 28?$0.00May 29, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 28?$0.00May 29, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 28?$0.00May 29, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on May 28?$0.00May 29, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 27?$0.00May 28, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 27?$0.00May 28, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 27?$0.00May 28, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 27?$0.00May 28, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 27?$0.00May 28, 04:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $0.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 20:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.