Blue-Carpenter
0x2b15545964e82580f99e416be4badf89dc4903cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-433.61
Realised
$0.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
126 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.31
- YES
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?
78 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-35.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on November 12?
66 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-13?
54 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 62°F or higher on November 14?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 12?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 11?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on November 11?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.