Liquid-Uncertainty
0x2b170250c74dfebdb4c8e8243e9f62f6789769d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$19.08
Total PnL
$-23.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Stripe IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 39% or higher in December?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$1.00Jan 15, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Jan 4, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 26, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Franco Parisi endorse Jeanette Jara for President of Chile?$1.00Dec 26, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jara win by at least 5%?$1.01Dec 26, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.01Dec 26, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Dec 11, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kelly Brook win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"?$1.00Dec 11, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marcel Reed win the Heisman Trophy?$1.00Dec 11, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab reach $108 in November?$1.00Dec 11, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in November?$1.01Dec 11, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ariana Grande be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?$1.01Dec 11, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.02Dec 11, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStripe IPO in 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $4 in December?$1.00Dec 8, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Dec 6, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zach Edey win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Dec 5, 06:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 02:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 05:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".