Crisp-Break
0x2b1ae1f96c8ae320def6eac56b72986a36d75126
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
113
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-319.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on June 4?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump issue 40 or more executive orders in June?
1940 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Zellnor Myrie gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on June 4?$1.00Jun 3, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.01Jun 2, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.00Jun 2, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMJazz vs. Kings$1.69Mar 18, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Nuggets$1.00Mar 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Magic$2.00Mar 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Pelicans$2.80Mar 16, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Celtics$2.20Mar 16, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Kings$1.00Mar 16, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMHornets vs. Spurs$2.90Mar 15, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Raptors$2.00Mar 15, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Spurs$2.00Mar 14, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMNets vs. Hawks$2.42Mar 14, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. 76ers$1.00Mar 14, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Celtics$1.00Mar 14, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Warriors$2.00Mar 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Clippers$1.10Mar 13, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Heat$2.10Mar 12, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Hawks$2.20Mar 12, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Pelicans$2.10Mar 11, 22:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 22:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 13:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".