Big-Warmth
0x2b1d93318daa8ce47f75db692239f31a60abfe6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
1302 shares @ 85.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$1.3K
$191.96
- YES
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
1271 shares @ 86.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$1.3K
$171.22
- YES
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
5148 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-499.99
- YES
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
4322 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
1595 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DJOKOVIC
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
1250 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
1000 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-570.00
- YES
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?
941 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July?
871 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
357 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-257.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$500.00Feb 8, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$100.00Feb 8, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$200.00Feb 8, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$500.00Feb 8, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$570.00Feb 8, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?$57.00Feb 8, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$10.00Feb 8, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$300.00Feb 8, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$600.00Feb 8, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?$200.00Feb 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic$133.76Feb 1, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic$266.24Feb 1, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMJiangxi Open: Kaja Juvan vs Claire Liu$61.54Feb 1, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Knicks$70.70Feb 1, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Pacers$208.33Feb 1, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)$319.15Feb 1, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.8KFeb 1, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYJiangxi Open: Kaja Juvan vs Claire Liu$40.00Oct 28, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)$300.00Oct 28, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.5KOct 28, 08:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $299.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 09:43 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 20:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".