Uncomfortable-Facsimile
0x2b216444856d3647cbf980b3f34f239d2f5f7884
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-518.99
Realised
$14.07
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
740 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.39
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
680 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
360 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.39
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 7PM ET
261 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
180 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 1PM ET
164 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.13
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 6PM ET
150 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-26.14
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 4AM ET
120 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-29.20
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
80 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
64 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.86
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.51Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.13Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.51Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$12.39Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.25Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.36Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.42Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.77Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.72Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.25Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.11Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.03Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.11Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.48Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.87Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.06Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.99Jun 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.78Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.65Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.75Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.