0x2b22a2345870bc25a952488683356b789a7f6f10
0x2b22a2345870bc25a952488683356b789a7f6f10
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$14.68
Total PnL
$-3.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Liberal Alliance win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$2.04
$1.04
- NO
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- NO
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- NO
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
2 shares @ 61.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$1.63
$0.63
- NO
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- NO
Will Venstre win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win <30 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- NO
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$1.00Mar 23, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Left win <20 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$1.00Mar 22, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?$1.00Mar 22, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$1.00Mar 22, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Left win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$1.00Mar 22, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on March 20, 2026?$3.68Mar 21, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?$0.00Mar 21, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venstre win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$1.00Mar 21, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 21, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 21, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$2.98Mar 21, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$3.05Mar 21, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$3.09Mar 21, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win 25-29 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$1.00Mar 20, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liberal Alliance win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$1.00Mar 20, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win <30 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$1.00Mar 19, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$1.00Mar 19, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?$1.00Mar 19, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?$1.00Mar 19, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$1.00Mar 18, 04:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.