Disloyal-Enjoyment
0x2b2729f7bfe848f31d22bcbd1916d13fb2a4ff88
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$17.51
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-869.90
Win rate
54%
199 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 19?
20 shares @ 57.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$10.60
$-0.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 18?
12 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$6.91
$-0.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
223 shares @ 72.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-162.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 18?$5.00Aug 18, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 18?$10.49Aug 18, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 18?$5.23Aug 18, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 18?$11.00Aug 18, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 18?$4.01Aug 18, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 18?$2.40Aug 18, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 18?$4.80Aug 18, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 18?$11.80Aug 18, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 18?$2.64Aug 18, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 18?$2.65Aug 18, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18?$2.84Aug 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18?$1.09Aug 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 18?$2.80Aug 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 18?$0.09Aug 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 18?$5.13Aug 18, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18?$5.21Aug 18, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18?$2.79Aug 18, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18?$2.83Aug 18, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18?$0.34Aug 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18?$4.90Aug 18, 15:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 199 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
199 closed markets, 54% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 17:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 199 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.