Flimsy-Uncertainty
0x2b297bc1b5f0e037136b3aeb6bb3c19049dff712
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
160
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$24.94
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 160- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
68958 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-144.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
4846 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
4651 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-88.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
3409 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
3119 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
2852 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$84.75Jan 14, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $14M committed to the Space public sale?$50.86Jan 10, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $12M committed to the Space public sale?$73.01Jan 10, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)$150.10Jan 10, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $12M committed to the Space public sale?$18.28Jan 10, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$5.00Jan 10, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$10.00Jan 10, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$10.00Jan 10, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$5.00Jan 10, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$5.00Jan 10, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$2.91Jan 10, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$5.00Jan 10, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.75Jan 10, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.20Jan 10, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.21Jan 10, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$3.85Jan 10, 04:38 UTC
- REWARD$1.06Jan 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere (BO3)$5.00Jan 9, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$3.77Jan 9, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.01Jan 9, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 17:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 08:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".