Formal-Bond
0x2b2c5c842e3277d11fb53319bd3cf2e6af3da85e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$72.60
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?
9041 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-264.80
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 17?
4000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 17?
2000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?
1898 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-123.35
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 17?
1835 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-91.77
- PANTHERS
Bills vs. Panthers
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 7-13?
1088 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-143.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 15?
1055 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-99.65
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?
1000 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-62.00
- UP
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
922 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-313.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.34May 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$86.31May 4, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.3KMay 4, 23:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Apr 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Apr 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Apr 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Apr 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Apr 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Apr 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Apr 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Apr 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Apr 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Apr 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Apr 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Apr 18, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 00:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".